(AP) -
When News Breaks Out, We Break In. Minute by Minute Report on Cameroon and Africa
Two land-locked, desperately
poor African countries are gripped by rebellions in the north that have
left huge chunks of both nations outside of government control.
Neighboring countries are rushing troops into Central African Republic
only a few weeks after rebels started taking towns but Mali's government
is still awaiting foreign military help nearly one year after the
situation there began unraveling. Here's a look at why there's been
quick action in one country, and not in the other.
___
THE INSURGENTS
The
simple answer lies in the vastly different challenges faced by
intervention forces. Northern Mali is home to al-Qaida-linked militants
who are stocking weapons and possess stores of Russian-made arms from
former Malian army bases as well as from the arsenal of toppled Libyan
leader Moammar Gadhafi. The local and foreign jihadists there are
digging in and training forces in preparation for jihad and to repel an
invasion. Central African Republic, by contrast, is dealing with
home-grown rebels who are far less organized and have less sophisticated
weapons.
The numbers of troops being sent to Central African
Republic are relatively small - Republic of Congo, Cameroon and Gabon
are each sending about 120 soldiers. The rebels stopped their advances
toward the capital on Dec. 29, perhaps at least in part because of the
presence of the foreign troops who have threatened to counterattack if
the rebels move closer to Bangui, the capital. In Mali, it will take far
more than the 3,000 African troops initially proposed for a military
operation to be successful in ousting the militants, analysts say.
___
THE MISSION
The
military objectives are also a stark contrast. In Central African
Republic, neighboring nations have a mandate to help stabilize the
region between rebel-held towns and the part of the country that is
under government control. The intervention force will fire back if fired
upon, but so far are not being asked to retake the towns already in
rebel hands.
The mission in Mali that foreign forces are slowly
gearing up for is far more ambitious. It involves trying to take back a
piece of land larger than Texas or France where militants are imposing
strict Islamic law, or Shariah. Making things even more complicated
there: A military coup last year that created chaos and enabled the
rebels to more easily take territory has left the country with a weak
federal government and the country's military with a broken
command-and-control structure, and with its leaders reluctant to give
real power to the civilians.
"In Mali you have a very undefined
mission. What does it mean to retake the country and give it back to
government forces that were not able to hold it in the first place?"
noted Jennifer Cooke, director of the Africa program at the
Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Central
African Republic's situation "is a more limited, defined and frankly
somewhat easier mission in the military sense," she said.
___
THE TERRAIN
Northern
Mali is a scorching desert that is unfamiliar to many of the troops who
would be coming from the West African regional bloc of countries known
as ECOWAS. By contrast, Central African Republic's neighbors already
have been pulled into past rebellions in the country.
Chadian
forces helped propel President Francois Bozize into power in 2003 and
they have assisted him in putting down past rebellions here.
"These
forces - particularly the Chadians - have been there before," Cooke
said. "They know the players, they have an interlocutor in Bozize
however fragile he is. This is familiar territory to them."
The
Economic Community of Central African States, or ECCAS, also already had
established a peacekeeping force in Central African Republic known as
MICOPAX.
"From the beginning, they knew that they needed to have
troops on the ground. MICOPAX was already there, had already been
deployed there. There was already a structure in place," said Thierry
Vircoulon, project director for Central Africa at the International
Crisis Group.
___
DIFFERING MOTIVATIONS
The rebels in
Central African Republic are made up of four separate groups all known
by their French acronyms - UFDR, CPJP, FDPC and CPSK. They are
collectively known as Seleka, which means alliance in the local Sango
language, but have previously fought one another. For instance, in
September 2011 fighting between the CPJP and the UFDR left at least 50
people dead and more than 700 homes destroyed. Insurgent leaders say a
2007 peace accord allowing them to join the regular army wasn't fully
implemented and are demanding payments to former combatants among other
things. Rebel groups also feel the government has neglected their home
areas in the north and particularly the northeast, said Filip Hilgert, a
researcher with Belgium-based International Peace Information Service.
In
northern Mali, the Islamist rebels are motivated in large part by
religion. Al-Qaida fighters chant Quranic verses under the Sahara sun ,
displaying deep, ideological commitment. They consider north Mali as
"Islamic territory" and say they will fight to the death to defend it.
They also want to use the territory to expand the reach of
al-Qaida-linked groups to other countries. This would seem to make other
countries more motivated to intervene in Mali than in Central African
Republic, but the challenges are so steep and convoluted that an
intervention mission is still on the drawing board.
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