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| Buhari leading |
SaharaReporters
is confidently projecting Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress
(APC) as the winner of last weekend’s presidential election based on collated
poll results from 95 percent of Nigeria’s polling units. The Independent
National Electoral Commission (INEC) will resume the official release of the
poll figures at 10 a.m. Nigerian time today, with Mr. Buhari all but certain to
be declared the president-elect.
Last night, INEC suspended the official
release of the state-by-state vote counts for the keenly contested presidential
election. However, with only five percent of votes remaining to be added up,
our figures indicate that Mr. Buhari is leading incumbent President Goodluck
Jonathan by more than two million votes. In addition, the APC candidate has
secured at least twenty-five percent of votes cast in two-thirds of Nigeria’s
36 states. Mr. Buhari has so far won 14,855,820 million votes, with Mr.
Jonathan trailing him with 12,107,628 million.
Our analysis,
based on collated votes that were already announced in different states, shows
that there is no statistical pathway open to Mr. Jonathan to surmount his vote
deficit with very few polling units left to account for.
INEC’s formal
declaration of Mr. Buhari as the winner of the presidential election will
represent a historic moment in Nigeria’s history, being the first time that an
opposition candidate would unseat an incumbent head of government at the
federal level. Another historic aspect is the fact that Mr. Buhari finally
triumphed on his fifth run as a presidential candidate of one of Nigeria’s
parties
When News Breaks Out, We Break In. (The 2014 Bloggies Finalist)
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